Championship Saturday is here and to cap off an action-packed day, the Big Ten Championship between No. 1 Oregon and No. 3 Penn State takes place in Indianapolis.
Below, we dig into Oregon vs. Penn State odds, picks and props for the action in Indianapolis.
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2024 Big Ten Championship predictions: Oregon vs. Penn State odds, preview & picks
Penn State has put itself in a position where until it beats a top power in college football, it will be overlooked and cast aside. But that doesn’t change the excellent season the Nittany Lions had.
Only a 20-13 loss to Ohio State separated PSU from a perfect season. They dominated a variety of metrics, including average point differential and offensive and defensive yards per play en route to their 11-1 finish. However, they only beat one ranked opponent, Illinois, and that was at home on Sept. 28.
Meanwhile, Oregon is the only undefeated P4 team in America. Although they did not weather the test of an endless amount of ranked opponents, they were the only Power team that endured eight straight weeks of conference play without a bye, which is a testament to their focus and consistency.
Dan Lanning improved his team with every passing week excluding a few weeks ago when they only beat Wisconsin 16-13. They also took down Ohio State 32-31 and beat the same Illinois team PSU did 38-9.
The winner of this game could earn the top seed in the CFP and will guarantee a first-round bye. The loser appears to be in line to earn the fifth seed.
The easy way to digest Georgia’s narrow 42-40 eight-overtime win over Georgia Tech is to say they aren’t ready to compete for a national championship. On the contrary, that type of win could galvanize a team more than a blowout, and Beck (who threw five touchdowns in the game) is as hot as he has been in more than a year.
Texas did not allow an offensive point to Texas A&M last weekend and will make it tough for the Dawgs, who lack real talent at the skill positions. However, QB Quinn Ewers hasn’t been that impactful against top opponents and is dealing with an ankle injury.
We can call it a neutral site all we want but the game is still in Atlanta and that favors the Bulldogs. UGA feels good for the 2.5-point spread given they have the advantage at QB and head coach and will have more fans in the stadium.
This should be a close game, and we’d favor the under in the final frame. The final moments of close games favor coaching, and that’s where Franklin’s struggles against top-five teams are magnified. Lannin is intense, meticulous, and intelligent, and he is the better bet to make the smart decision at the end of an important game.
Oregon also kicked a game-winning field goal late in the fourth quarter in its matchup with Ohio State, while PSU lost the fourth quarter 7-0 when it faced the Buckeyes.
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Grant is a Virginia-based writer for Catena Media who graduated from Virginia Tech in 2021 with a degree in sports media & analytics. He has contributed to well-known publications such as Forbes, and appeared on the VSiN TV network.
